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UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this fight on career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a large factor and there’s a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with full power and is based on completing opponents. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both men can have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz around the ground. As Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities must find Blachowicz a complete once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) chances. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is fast with his in and out striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the feet using a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies in the grappling department. Alvarez has not shown great takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy seldom succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and search for excursions and takedowns to the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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